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Further Mathematics Paper 2, Nov/Dec. 2007  
Questions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Main
General Comments
Weakness/Remedies
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Question 5

A bag contains 6 red and 4 black balls.  If three balls are selected at random from the bag, one after the other and without replacement, find the probability that

  • they are of the same colour;
  • one black and two red balls are selected.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
Observation

This question was also attempted fairly well by the candidates.  Two alternative methods were open for them.  Either the simple definition method of

Prob. =  no of favourable
             Total no of possible, which would give P {same colour} = 6C3+ 4C3
                                                                                                                       10C3
         =    24     =  1    =  0.2     Or
              120         5

         P{same colour}  =  P(all read) + P(all blue)  =                                                     
 
        { 6/10  x  5/9 x  4/8}  + {4/10 x 3/9 x 2/9}  =  1/5  =  0.2

The second method was the popular one.  Many candidates made the mistake of interpreting  P{same colour} as P{all black} x P{all blue}.

The Probability of selecting 1 black and 2 red  balls  =  4C1 6C2    =  0.5
                                                                                                    10C3

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